Global Patient Demand Forecasting Lead

About us

Based in Parma, Italy, Chiesi is an international research-focused pharmaceutical and healthcare group with over 85 years’ experience, operating in 31 countries with more than 7,000 employees (Chiesi Group). To achieve its mission of improving people’s quality of life by acting responsibly towards society and the environment, the Group researches, develops and markets innovative drugs in its main therapeutic areas: Discover more here

We are proud to to have been awarded with B Corp Certification, a recognition of high social and environmental standards. We are a reliable company that adopts and promotes a transparent and ethical behavior at all levels.

We believe that the success of Chiesi is built and shaped by our people and our strong set of shared Values and Behaviors. Our people make a critical difference to our success, which is why it is vital that we attract and retain the right talent who will continue to enrich our culture by living and breathing our values and behaviors.

We are committed to embrace diversity, inclusion and equal opportunities. In fact, we are a global family made up of different cultures, different genders, generations, ethnicities, abilities, sexual identities and many other enriching diversities.

Air and Care Franchise

Within the three Business Units (Discover more here), Air and Care Franchises are responsible for the development and implementation of the Therapeutic Area Strategies. Each Franchise is organized by stage of development with fully empowered and enhanced teams of: Pipeline Development Team - focused on delivering innovation and programs leadership accountabilities in close collaboration with R&D, Commercial Portfolio Management Team - focused on maximizing the benefit for the patients and the full potential of marketed / close-to-launch assets, including Life Cycle Management strategies.

Air and Care Franchises are also supported by the Medical Affairs, Value & Access, and Business Excellence & Customer Experience Global functions.

Medical Affairs, Value & Access, and Business Excellence & Customer Experience Global functions

Within these departments, you will actively support the Air and Care Franchises businesses. These units are responsible for the development and implementation of the Therapeutic Area Strategies. Each Franchise is organized by stage of development with fully empowered and enhanced teams of: Pipeline Development and Commercial Portfolio Management.

Purpose

We are seeking a highly skilled and strategic Global Patient Demand Forecasting Lead to lead and optimize the forecasting process for patient demand across our global portfolio. This key role will involve using advanced data analytics, market insights, and collaboration with cross-functional teams to develop accurate, actionable forecasts that drive global business strategies. The ideal candidate will possess a deep understanding of demand forecasting, patient population dynamics, and the pharmaceutical/healthcare industry, with the ability to manage multiple priorities and work effectively in a fast-paced environment.

Main Responsibilities

• Lead Global Forecasting: Develop and manage the global patient demand forecasting process for the AIR product portfolio, ensuring alignment with business goals and market dynamics.
• Data Integration and Analysis: Analyse historical data, market trends, and external factors (e.g., epidemiology, healthcare policies) to generate accurate forecasts for patient demand across multiple regions and therapeutic areas.
• Collaboration & Stakeholder Engagement: Work closely with affiliates, marketing, supply chain, and manufacturing to align on assumptions, inputs, and data requirements. Act as the primary point of contact for patient demand-related forecasting activities across the organization.
• Market & Segmentation Insights: Develop in-depth understanding of different patient segments and markets, incorporating various assumptions and proxies where necessary. Tailor forecasts for local, regional, and global needs.
• Continuous Improvement: Identify opportunities to improve the forecasting model and processes. Implement best practices and innovations to enhance forecast accuracy and business outcomes.
• Scenario Planning & Sensitivity Analysis: Conduct scenario modelling and sensitivity analysis to understand the impact of market changes and uncertainties on patient demand and advise key stakeholders on potential risks and opportunities.
• Reporting & Communication: Deliver clear, data-driven insights and forecasts to senior management and key business units, ensuring transparency and alignment on demand projections.
• Technology & Tools: Leverage advanced forecasting tools and technologies, ensuring effective data management and efficient model deployment. Continuously evaluate and optimize forecasting tools and platforms.
• Market Research & Competitive Intelligence: Stay abreast of industry trends, competitive activities, and evolving market dynamics that could impact patient demand and inform forecasting assumptions.
• Collaborate with Compliance teams to ensure all forecasts align with global trade regulations and market access requirements.
• Incorporate product lifecycle analysis into demand forecasting models to anticipate changes in demand patterns across global markets.
• Develop contingency plans for supply disruptions or regulatory changes that may impact demand forecasts.

Experience and Skills Required

• 5+ years of experience in demand forecasting, commercial analytics, or related roles within the healthcare, pharmaceutical, or medical devices industry.
• Risk (trade) and Scenario Planning to anticipate challenges (regulatory changes, tariffs or logistical disruptions).
• Proven experience in managing global demand forecasting processes, ideally in patient-based forecasting or market access forecasting.
• Proficiency in trade and logistics management tools (e.g., SAP ERP, Oracle Supply Chain)
• Strong proficiency in using advanced forecasting tools (e.g., Excel, Tableau, R, Python, or other forecasting software).

Education

Bachelor's degree in Business, Economics, Life Sciences, Statistics, or a related field (Master's preferred).

Soft Skills

• A strategic thinker wth strong analytical and quantitative skills with the ability to interpret complex data and translate it into actionable insights
• Demonstrated ability to collaborate across global teams and manage multiple projects simultaneously
• Strong problem-solving capabilities and adaptability in a dynamic environment
• Exceptional communication skills, with the ability to present complex information to both technical and non-technical stakeholders.
• Ability to work under pressure and manage competing priorities in a fast-paced environment.

Languages

Fluent in English (additional languages are a plus).

Location

Flexible solutions can be envisaged

What we offer

You would join a dynamic, fast-growing, challenging and friendly environment.

In Chiesi we firmly believe that our people are our most valuable asset, that is why we invest in continuous training, learning and development. Therefore, we strive to continuously promote and satisfy development needs, paying particular attention to the quality of our working environment and to collective well-being.

We want our people to come to work happy every day, and we know how important it is to find the right work-life balance in order to be able to give our best. That is why we offer flexible working approach, remote working, support in the relocation process, tax assistance service for foreign colleagues and many other people-care services.